作者：Nancy Lubale，CoinTelegraph；编译：邓通，金色财经
Author: Nancy Lubale, CoinTelegraph; edited by Dunton, Gold Book
在现货以太坊交易所交易基金 (ETF) 获得批准后，以太坊上涨至 3,972 美元，但过去一周，与比特币和更广泛的加密货币市场相比，以太坊表现不佳，下跌了 10%，这导致交易员怀疑山寨币的下行趋势是否已经结束。
After the approval of the spot ETA Exchange Trading Fund (ETF), it rose to $3,972, but over the past week it had performed poorly, down by 10 per cent, compared to Bitcoin and the wider encrypt currency market, which led traders to wonder whether the downward trend in the mountain currency was over.
具体来说，比特币的价格在同一时期下跌了 6%，而加密货币的总市值下跌了 5.3%。
Specifically, Bitcoin prices fell by 6 per cent over the same period, while the total market value of encrypted currencies fell by 5.3 per cent.
许多市场和技术指标表明，ETH 可能会经历更深层次的调整，然后再次尝试复苏。
Many market and technology indicators indicate that
ETH//USD 日线图。资料来源：TradingView
以太坊在过去七天里下跌了 10%，表现不及比特币和其他顶级Layer 1代币。BTC 价格在过去一周下跌了 5.5%，ETH/BTC 比率从 6 月 3 日的 0.055 下跌 5.21% 至 6 月 11 日的 0.0513，为 5 月 20 日以来的最低水平。
Etheria has fallen by 10% over the past seven days, not as much as Bitcoin and other top Layer-1s. BTC prices have fallen by 5.5% over the past week, and the ETH/BTC ratio has fallen from 0.055 on June 3 to 0.0511 on June 11, the lowest level since May 20.
ETH/BTC 比率。资料来源：TradingView
目前，ETH 表现不佳的原因有很多，包括 2024 年比特币特有的因素。美国现货比特币 ETF 在很大程度上取得了成功，上周资本流入近 20 亿美元。此外，即将到来的 CPI 数据和 FOMC 会议关于降息的决定在过去几个月里引发了明显的市场调整，影响了包括以太坊在内的所有加密货币价格。
At present, strang's coming CPI data and FOMC conference decisions on interest reduction have triggered significant market adjustments in the last few months, affecting all encrypted currency prices, including in Taipan.
此外，在过去 90 天里，以太坊的网络活动（具体指标）有所下降。Glassnode 的数据显示，以太坊网络上的每日活跃地址从 3 月 20 日的 622,963 个下降到 6 月 10 日的 458,400 个。仅在过去 48 小时内就下降了 1.2%。
In addition, data from strang' from 622,963 on 20 March to 458,400 on 10 June. dropped by 1.2 per cent in the last 48 hours alone.
以太坊上的活跃地址数量。资料来源：Glassnode
尽管以太坊仍然是Layer 1领域最强大的网络，但 Solana 最近在链上活动方面已经夺取了这一领域的市场份额。根据 DappRaddar 的数据，以太坊的 NFT 数量在过去 7 天内下降了 9%，至 1.05 亿。
Although Ether is still the most powerful network in the Layer 1 area, Solana has recently gained market share in the chain. According to DappRaddar, the number of NFTs in Ether fell by 9% in the last seven days, to 10.5 billion.
下图显示，以太坊网络在 UAW 总数方面落后于 Solana 和 BNB 链。超过 524,000 万 UAW 与该协议进行了交互，在过去 7 天内下降了 4.5%。这远低于 Solana 上的 270 万 UAW，后者在同一时间段内增长了 74%。
The figure below shows that the Etherm network lags behind the Solana and BNB chains in terms of total UAW. More than 524 million UAW interacted with the agreement, falling by 4.5 per cent in the last seven days. This is far below the 2.7 million UAW on Solana, which grew by 74 per cent over the same period.
顶级Layer 1区块链。资料来源：DappRadar
链上活动的减少表明生态系统内对以太坊的需求减弱，从而压低了其价格。
以太坊最近的下跌导致其失去了 3,500 美元需求区附近的关键支撑位，转而成为阻力位。过去的价格走势表明，该区域对 ETH 多头构成了顽固阻力。4 月 11 日，以太坊跌破该水平，导致其跌幅达 25%，至 5 月 2 日触及的 2,814 美元低点。
The recent decline in Etheria has led to the loss of a critical support position near the US$ 3,500 demand area, turning into a resistance position. Past price trends suggest that the region is a persistent resistance to the ETH overtones. On April 11, Ether fell down that level, causing it to fall by 25 per cent, to reach a low of US$ 2,814 on May 2.
IntoTheBlock 的数据强化了这一阻力区的重要性。其价内价外 (IOMAP) 模型显示，该区域位于 3,476 美元至 3,577 美元的价格范围内，此前约有 260 万个地址购买了约 108 万个 ETH。
IntoTheBlock data strengthens the importance of this 以太坊 IOMAP 图表。资料来源：IntoTheBlock 如果短期内该阻力位出现大量卖家活动，则以太坊的价格预计会进一步下跌。 /span> 在 5 月 27 日达到 3,973 美元的六周高点后，ETH 价格回落，因为空头获利了结，加密货币市场整体出现回调。此后，价格已下跌 12%，至目前的 3,511 美元。 After reaching a six-week high of USD 3,973 on May 27, the ETH price fell because of the winding-down of the empty profit and the return of the encrypt currency market as a whole. Since then, prices have fallen by 12%, to the current US$ 3,511. 尽管有所回升，但日线图上仍可见一根长长的看跌蜡烛，暗示了下行趋势的强度。 Despite some recovery, a long stare-down candle is still visible on the sun charts, implying the intensity of the downward trend. ETH//USD 日线图。资料来源：TradingView 以太坊多头正指望 3,400 美元的心理价位立即获得支撑。日线收盘价低于这一水平将表明多头无力守住这一水平，预计价格将跌至 2,840 美元。这一走势意味着价格较当前水平下跌 18%。 It is expected that the price of $3,400 will be supported immediately. The closing of the line will be below that level, which is expected to fall to $2,840. This trend will mean an 18% drop from the current level. 本文来源金色财经，观点不代表芝麻财经的立场，转载请联系原作者。 This document, which is derived from a gold-coloured financial system, does not represent the position of the Sesame Bank and is reproduced in the form in which the original author was requested to be contacted.
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