钱江晚报·小时新闻记者 张云山
> Chan Gang Evening Hour Journalist Zhang Yunshan
新年以来涨势如虹的比特币，突然遭遇了倒春寒。自去年11月进入上升通道以来，比特币的涨势可谓惊人，仅今年以来涨幅已近80%；与去年同期相比，涨幅超过400%。不过，过去24小时，比特币从5.5万美元跌到4.5万美元，跌幅超过了14%。
Bitcoin, which has risen like a rainbow since the beginning of the new year, has suddenly experienced a fall in the cold. Since entering the upturn last November, Bitcoin has risen alarmingly, by nearly 80% since this year alone; it has increased by more than 400% compared to the same period last year.
比黄金还贵的比特币崩了，超49万人爆仓
It's more expensive than gold. It's over 490,000 people.
21日凌晨，比特币价格一度超过58000美元（约合37.5万元人民币），也是有史以来1个比特币价格首次超过1公斤黄金的价格。不过好景不长，从本周一开始，其价格就从最高的58000美元持续下跌，一度跌到4.5万美元，最大跌幅超过20%。截至北京时间20:50，比特币价格4.78万美元左右。
In the early morning of the 21st day, the price of Bitcoin was once over $58,000 (approximately RMB 375,000) and for the first time ever, the price of a bitcoin exceeded the price of 1 kilogram of gold. But the good news was not long, with prices falling from the highest $58,000 to $45,000 at the beginning of the week, with a maximum drop of more than 20%. By Beijing time, 20:50, the price of Bitcoin was about $478 million.
一直唱多数字货币的马斯克，也在这波比特币闪崩中受伤严重。特斯拉之前投资比特币15亿美元、约合人民币96.74亿元，并表示将很快接受比特币作为购买汽车和其他产品的支付方式。如今或许受比特币暴跌影响，特斯拉盘前跌幅扩大至近9%，昨日收跌超8%。马斯克对虚拟货币的态度似乎也在发生变化，马斯克在20日社交平台发表观点称“货币只是数据，让我们免于物物交换的不便。货币数据与所有数据一样，都存在延迟和错误。这么说来，比特币的价格似乎太高了。”
And Tesla had invested $1.5 billion in bitcoins, about $9.674 billion, and said that he would soon accept bitcoins as a way of paying for cars and other products. Now, perhaps as a result of a bitcoins crash, Tesla's front fall has increased to almost 9%, and yesterday's fall over 8%.
受虚拟货币价格大跌影响，香港上市的火币科技今天下单跌了17.34%，报21.45港元。
As a result of the sharp fall in virtual currency prices, Hong Kong's listed gun technology today dropped by 17.34 per cent to HK$21.45.
美股区块链概念股盘前重挫，SOS跌超24%，RIOT Blockchain跌超18%，亿邦国际跌超19%，嘉楠科技盘前下跌17%。
The US-based block chain concept has suffered a major setback, with SOS falling by over 24 per cent, RIOT Blockchain falling by over 18 per cent, billion states falling by more than 19 per cent internationally and Kanaan science and technology falling by 17 per cent.
另据比特币家园数据显示，24小时内，数字货币合约共爆仓299亿人民币，涉及币民49万多人。
Also according to Bitcoin Home Data, over a 24-hour period, digital currency contracts amount to 29.9 billion yuan, involving more than 490,000 people.
比特币价格可提前预演A股走势？
招商证券研究发现，比特币价格与A50指数期货相关度较高，且比特币价格较为纯粹反映流动性的变化，因此比特币价格对A50指数期货有一定的领先效果。 The Merchant Securities Study found that bitcoin prices were more relevant to A50 index futures and that bitcoin prices more simply reflected changes in liquidity, so that bitcoin prices had some leading effect on A50 index futures. 此前，比特币价格已经多次提前预测了A股的大跌，包括2017年年底之后，比特币大跌后一个月A50见顶；2018年11月比特币暴跌，此后一个月A50发生了最后一轮比较大的调整；2020年3月当A股从疫情中走出来出现明显反弹时，而比特币却大跌反应了全球流动性冲击，此后A50同步大跌；而最近一次，比特币大跌20%后A50指数也回调了接近10%。 Prior to that, Bitcoin prices had forecast a sharp fall in A shares several times in advance, including a month after the end of 2017, when Bitcoin peaked at A50; a month after November 2018, when Bitcoin collapsed, the last round of a larger adjustment occurred in A50; a month after March 2020, when A’s share came out of the epidemic, Bitcoin responded to a global liquidity shock, and since then, A50 has fallen in synchronous times; and the most recent time, after a 20 per cent drop in Bitcoin, the A50 Index has returned to almost 10 per cent. 周一美国财政部长珍妮特·耶伦在接受采访时表示，比特币是一种“高度投机性资产”，具有高度的投机性，投资者应该当心。 In an interview on Monday, the United States Treasury Secretary, Janet Yellen, stated that Bitcoin was a “highly speculative asset”, highly speculative and that investors should be careful. 微软联合创始人比尔盖茨此前在接受CNBC采访时表示，“我不拥有比特币，也不做空比特币，所以我持中立的观点。比特币的涨跌可能只是基于狂热的粉丝或各界对其的看法。我无法预测它将如何发展。” The founder of Microsoft United, Bill Gates, in an interview with the CNBC, said, “I don't own bitcoin, I don't do bitcoin, so I have a neutral view. Bitcoin's up and down is probably based only on fanatical fans or perceptions of it. I can't predict how it's going to go.” “埃隆·马斯克有很多钱，他非常老练，所以我不担心他。但我确实认为，那些在比特币热潮中买进的人，他们可能没有那么多闲钱。所以我不看好比特币，我的总体想法是，如果你没有埃隆那么多的钱，还是小心点吧。”盖茨称。 "Elon Mask has a lot of money, he's very sophisticated, so I don't worry about him. But I do think that those who buy it in the bitcoin boom may not have that much money. So I don't like bitcoin, and my overall idea is, if you don't have that much money, then be careful." Gates says. 目前，全球都在关注美联储是否会收紧流动性，近期多地权益类市场价格回落。对于普通投资者而言，应保持清醒。比特币是一种高风险资产，而非避险资产。当前市场对通胀预期开始出现分歧，随着疫苗在各国上市，经济活动将进一步恢复。在经济恢复预期和高通胀预期的双重压力下，市场猜测全球主要央行将逐步退出现有的宽松政策。当货币政策也将逐渐由宽松转为适度紧缩后，机构投资者很可能会抛售比特币，对此需要高度警觉。 At present, the world is concerned about whether the Fed will tighten liquidity, and about the recent fall in equity-type market prices. For ordinary investors, it should be sober. Bitcoin is a high-risk asset, not a hedge asset. 本文为钱江晚报新闻资讯客户端“小时新闻”原创作品，未经许可，禁止转载、复制、摘编、改写及进行网络传播等一切作品版权使用行为，否则本客户端将循司法途径追究侵权人的法律责任，包括但不限于要求删除稿件、赔礼道歉、赔偿本文采编成本及维权支出等。侵权举报、版权合作请联系：qbwl@8531.cn
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