比特币(?BTC?) 减半大约每四年发生一次（210,000 个区块），受到比特币投资者的热切期待，并始终引发价格看涨。
The halving of Bitcoin (? BTC?) takes place approximately every four years (210,000 blocks), is eagerly awaited by bitcoin investors and always triggers price increases.
比特币价格有望在未来18个月内突破22万美元？根据过去减半事件的价格表现，我预测比特币在未来18个月内可能达到22万美元的高位。这个预测是基于2012年和2016年两次减半后，价格分别上涨了94倍和3倍。而上一次减半事件后，比特币价格在一年内上涨了六倍，达到36,458美元。
Bitcoin prices are expected to break by $220,000 in the next 18 months. Based on past price performance in halving events, I predict that bitcoins could reach a high of $220,000 in the next 18 months.
然而，值得注意的是，比特币价格的波动性很大，受到各种因素的影响。例如，未来几个月可能发生的事件会直接影响比特币的价格，从而使这个分析变得不准确。
It is worth noting, however, that bitcoin prices are highly volatile and subject to a variety of factors. For example, possible events in the coming months will have a direct impact on bitcoin prices, making this analysis inaccurate.
此外，每次减半后，价格上升趋势相对于前一次减半的幅度似乎在逐渐减少。2016年减半后，价格涨幅仅为2012年减半后涨幅的三分之一左右。特别是最近两次减半，价格变化的跌幅更大，导致价格涨幅减弱了五倍。
Moreover, price increases seem to be decreasing relative to the previous one when they are reduced by half each time. After halving in 2016, prices rose by only about one-third after halving in 2012.
尽管如此，投资者可能会继续看好比特币，因为减半事件本身可能会增强他们的信心。然而，我们仍需谨慎，因为比特币市场的不确定性和波动性可能会对价格预测产生影响。
Nevertheless, investors may continue to look at bitcoin, as halving events themselves may enhance their confidence. However, we still need to be cautious, as uncertainty and volatility in bitcoin markets may have an impact on price forecasts.
除此之外，ChatGPT-4 还提供了针对其问题的人工智能回答，并对 2024 年减半后的未来 12 个月进行了价格预测。人工智能检查了所有已发生的减半事件并计算了减少因子，但无法可靠地建模以根据当前信息跟踪下一个因子。根据针对它的问题，ChatGPT-4 做出了以下声明：
In addition, ChatGPT-4 provided an AI response to its questions and made price projections for the next 12 months after halving by 2024. The AI examined all incidents that had occurred and calculated the reduction factors, but could not reliably model the next factor on the basis of current information. In response to its questions, ChhatGPT-4 made the following statement:
由于这两个速率不一致，因此没有明确的线性或简单指数模型。然而，如果我们想应用更新的利率来预测 2024 年减半后的增长，我们可以使用最近的下降率。
Because these two rates are inconsistent, there is no clear linear or simple index model. However, if we want to use updated interest rates to forecast growth by half by 2024, we can use the latest rate of decline.
尽管如此，ChatGPT-4还是做出了价格预测，指出比特币在2024年减半后可能会上涨1.2倍。
Nevertheless, ChatGPT-4 made price projections indicating that Bitcoin could increase 1.2 times by half in 2024.
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