文章编辑时间2023.5.3上午11：30分，所有观点不构成任何投资建议！仅供学习交流。
The editorial time for the article is 2023.53 at 11.30 a.m., and all views do not constitute an investment proposal!
随着第一共和银行被美国联邦政府接管并出售给摩根大通，第一共和银行算是彻底再见了，几个月内美国已经倒下三家中型银行，这便是持续高息环境产生的连锁反应，不知道今年维持这样的利息会不会进一步产生黑天鹅事件。这三家银行都有监管机构或大型银行出手相助，否则其流动性匮乏产生的蝴蝶效应会瞬间吞噬美国的金融业，从而影响到资本市场以及各行各业，产生巨大的经济危机。但这种救助不是无限制的，所以今年后半年我们依然要时刻警惕黑天鹅事件，或许会对市场产生巨大的波动和影响。
With the United States federal government taking over and selling banks to Morgan Chase, the first has been a complete farewell to the banks, which have fallen three medium-sized banks in the past few months, which is a chain reaction to the continuing high-interest environment. It is not clear whether maintaining such interest this year will lead to further black swan events. All three banks have regulators or large banks to help, otherwise their lack of liquidity will soon engulf America’s financial sector, affecting capital markets and industries, and creating a huge economic crisis.
有人说现在美国的金融业像极了2008年的金融危机，也有人说将会回到1929年大衰退的前夕，至少到现在看来，无论是08年还是29年，都不会在短期内迅速发生，而是一个以年为单位的计量周期，所以后面的日子将成为比特币出头之日，当美元霸权真正开始走向没落时，也许才是比特币登场的时间。
Some say that the financial sector in the United States now resembles the financial crisis of 2008 and that it will return to the precipice of the Great Recession of 1929. At least by now, neither 08 nor 29 will happen quickly in the short term. Rather, it is a year-by-year measurement cycle, so that the days that follow will be the beginning of the Bitcoin, perhaps when the dollar hegemon really begins to fall.
大饼截昨日高点28689附近，低点28336附近。大饼昨日凌晨震荡下行，最低触及27600附近后开始反弹走横盘调整，走出了双底结构，昨晚美股开盘大跌，大饼没有联动美股而是走出独立行情，出现一波拉升，随后开始走震荡行情，大饼预计短时间内会继续走箱体行情。
The big cakes were high yesterday, around 28689, near 28336. The big cakes went down in the early hours of yesterday, began to bounce around the discs after touching at least 27,600, went out of double-dip structures, opened up last night, the big pies did not touch the American shares, but went out of independence, and then started to go into shock, and the big cakes were expected to continue to walk through the boxes in a short period of time.
日线级别布林带平行运行，受布林中轨28850压制，MACD背离结束，开始出现温和放量，KDJ出现死叉。4小时级别出现双底结构，受MA50日线压制，布林带向下运行，受布林下轨27600支撑。操作上低多为主。
The line-level boolean is running in parallel, under 28,850 in the boolean track, the MACD departure is over, a mild release begins, and KDJ has a dead fork. There are double bottom structures at the 4-hour level, under the MA50 line, the Boolin strip is running down, and it is supported by the Boolin track 27600.
下方关注27600，27000的支撑，上方关注30000-30200压力。建议29200附近轻仓做空，止损放在26000上方，目标28500-27800。27600附近轻仓做多，止损放在27200下方，目标27900-28800。行情变化万千，具体操作以实时策略为主。一颗红心做好两手准备嘉威KDJ四柒伍八零，浮竹提醒切记带好止损止盈
We're looking at 27,600, 27000 support, and we're looking at 30,000-30200 pressure. It's recommended that light warehouse around 29,200 be empty, with damage above 26,000, targets 28500-27800. More light warehouse around 27600, with damage under 27,200, targets 27,900-28800. The operation is based on a real-time strategy.
以太坊昨日高点1880附近，低点1822附近。以太近期走势基本联动大饼，也是走出了双底结构，短时间内会走箱体行情。
Etheria was high yesterday at 1880 and low at 1822. Ether’s recent trends are largely linked to the big cakes, which are also out of the two-floor structure and will be in the box for a short period of time.
日线级别受MA50日线支撑，布林带平行运行，受布林中轨1930压制，MCAD开始温和放量。4小时级别布林带朝下运行，K线围绕布林中轨1860附近运行，操作上回调接多为主。
The Japanese level is supported by the MA50 line, the Bullin belt is running in parallel, and the Bullin track has been suppressed by 1930, and MCAD is starting to run in warmness.
下方关注1780-1800支撑，上方关注1960-1980压力。建议1920附近轻仓做空，止损放到1950上方，目标1870-1820。1810附近轻仓做多，止损放在1780下方，目标1860-1920。行情变化万千，具体操作以实时策略为主。
At the bottom, attention is focused on 1780-1800, and above it is focused on the stress of 1960-1980. It is recommended that the light warehouse around 1920 be empty, so that the damage will be placed above 1950, with targets 1870-1820. At 1810, the light warehouse will do more, with targets 1860-1920 below 1780.
声明：以上内容均为个人观点，策略仅供参考，不作为投资依据，如有跟进风险自担。返回搜狐，查看更多
Statement: The above is a personal point of view, and the strategy does not serve as a basis for investment, if there is a risk of follow-up. returned to search for more
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