数字货币市场的热闻比特币披萨日想必投资者们都有所耳闻,在2010年5月22日晚,一位名为程Laszlo Hanyecz序员使用1万个比特币购买了两块价值25美元的披萨,这时比特币被第一次定价为1BTC=0.0025美元,11年之后,比特币迎来了大牛市价格涨到68928.9美元,尽管当前比特币价格低于牛市价格很多,也让很多投资者都对比特币未来价格走势很看好,并且有分析师喊话如果比特币价格一直按照当下趋势发展,未来涨到100万美元不是梦,需要的只是时间问题,那再过20年,或者更长时间,比特币会涨到100万美元吗?下面币圈子小编就来为各位投资者分析一下这个问题。
In the evening of 22 May 2010, an orderly named Laszlo Hanyecz purchased two pieces of pizza worth $25 using 10,000 bitcoins, after which bitcoin was first priced at 1BTC = US$0.0025; after 11 years, bitcoin had risen to US$ 68,928.9, despite the fact that the price of bitcoin is now much lower than the price of cow, and had many investors compare the price of the coin with the price of the coin in the future, and there had been a call from analysts that it would not be a dream, it would only be a matter of time, it would be another 20 years, or more, it would be US$ 1 million.
短期来看比特币不会涨到100万美元,知名加密资产分析师PlanB认为,未来几年比特币可能会上涨。到2024年下一个减半期,比特币价格将上涨数十倍,预计将突破10万美元。PlanB将贵金属(如黄金、白银)的价格模型(公式)应用到比特币上,如果该模型预测正确,2024年减半前后比特币价格将较2020年5月上涨约10倍,达到10万美元。
In the short term, Bitcoin will not rise to $1 million, and a well-known cryptographic asset analyst PlanB suggests that bitcoin may rise in the next few years. By the next half of 2024, bitcoin prices will increase by dozens of times, and are expected to break by $100,000. PlanB applies the price model (formula) for precious metals (e.g. gold, silver) to bitcoin, and, if the model predicts correctly, bitcoin prices will rise by about 10 times, to $100,000, around and around 2024, compared to May 2020.
很多投资者认为比特币能涨到100万美元,主要原因不外呼对信用货币失去信心、对银行系统的不信任,从而使大部分人对比特币数量恒定、且公开透明的特性产生认可,在这里币圈子小编为大家汇总了以下几个原因:
Many investors believe that Bitcoin can rise to $1 million, mainly because of a loss of confidence in the credit currency and a lack of trust in the banking system, which has led to the recognition of a consistent and transparent character for most people. The following reasons are summarized in the currency circles:
1、比特币总量2100万,所有数据公开透明
1 Total Bitcoin of 21 million, all data open and transparent
在流通数量方面,目前,已经挖出来的BTC总量是1840万,有500万左右的比特币被永久性丢失,剩下的80%左右是被巨鲸囤积,且不进入流通渠道的。那么目前真正可流通的数量也就260万左右,按照目前比特币价格为10000美元计算,这260万比特币只需要2.6万亿美元的资金可以把价格推升到100万美元。
In terms of circulation, the total number of BTCs that have been excavated is currently 18.4 million, about 5 million bitcoins have been permanently lost, and about 80% of the remaining amount is hoarded by giant whales without access to circulation channels. The real amount that is now available is about 2.6 million, which, based on the current figure of $10,000 in bitcoin, would require $2.6 trillion to boost the price to $1 million.
2、现有货币体系的低效性,即便电子支付也不例外
2. Inefficiency of the existing monetary system, even in the case of electronic payments
我们以Paypal为例,2018年全年交易额是5786亿美元, 客户为此支付的成本就高达115亿美元。这还是更加高效的互联网支付,如果是银行呢?此外,在2017年,比特币的交易量比PayPal高5435.2亿美元。2018年比特币网络交易量达到了1.3万亿美元,同一时间段,PayPal的交易量为5786.5亿美元。这是比特币第二次在交易量上超越PayPal。虽然比特币有时候存在网络拥堵,但加密爱好者相信,所有的技术问题都不是问题。
In the case of Paypal, for example, transactions in 2018 amounted to $5,786 million, with clients paying up to $11.5 billion. This is still a more efficient Internet payment, if it is a bank. Moreover, in 2017, Bitcoin traded $5,435.2 billion more than PayPal. In 2018, Bitcoin traded $1.3 trillion, and in the same time period, PayPal traded $5,786.5 billion. This is the second time Bitcoin exceeded PayPal in the volume.
3、货币滥发,导致人们对法币世界缺乏信心
3. Misdirection of currencies, resulting in a lack of confidence in the French world
世界上任何有价物之所以值钱,原因就在于信心——所有人都相信它值这么多钱,它就会值那么多钱。例如梵高的油画、一张帕瓦罗蒂的签名唱片、从泥土里面挖出来的唐朝三彩等。1948年至1949年,国民党政府共计发型了130万亿的金圆券,导致物价半年之内上涨500倍。但是放眼全世界,主权信用货币发行到这个体量的经济体不在少数,例如美国、欧盟、日本地区等等,虽然这些地区的货币也在大幅度贬值,但远不及金圆券凶狠,根本原因还是民国后期,全国老百姓失去了信心。
Any price in the world is valuable because of confidence – everyone believes that it is worth that much – and that it will be worth that much. For example, Van Gogh's painting, a Pavarotti signature record record, Tang Dynasty from the mud, etc. In 1948-1949, the National Party government issued a total of 1.3 trillionaire gold vouchers, which led to a price increase of 500 times in six months. But worldwide, sovereign credit currencies are not issued to a small number of economies, such as the United States, the European Union, the Japanese region, and so forth.
比特币历史最高价格是$68928.9美元,比特币于2008年10月31日发行,当时比特币的初始价格为$0.0025美元,在2021年11月10日比特币的价格达到历史最高。比特币作为一种虚拟货币,从目前的使用情况来看,它和现行货币一样具备支付手段、流通手段、价值尺度、世界货币和贮藏手段这五大特性。
Bitcoin has a historic high price of $68,928.9 and was released on 31 October 2008, when it had an initial price of $0.0025 and reached its highest price on 10 November 2021. Bitcoin, as a virtual currency, has five main features, like the current currency, of means of payment, means of circulation, scales of value, world currency and storage.
比特币的存在意义类似于黄金,可以被理解为是一般等价物,虽然比特币并不能像黄金一样,作为贵金属具备实际价值,但这并不影响比特币良好的发展前景。高盛在其最新发布的比特币评估报告中指出:“我们目前正处于原生数字交易的初级阶段。比特币可能会成为一种主导标准,但也可能遭到其他虚拟货币的挑战。投资围绕比特币提供增值服务的公司,是参与现阶段价值创造的关键方式。”
Bitcoin's existence is similar to gold and can be understood as a general equivalent, although it does not have the same real value as gold as precious metals, but it does not affect the prospects for good bitcoin development. Goldman Sachs, in his recently released Bitcoin assessment, stated: “We are in the early stages of raw digital trading. Bitcoin may become a dominant standard, but it may also be challenged by other virtual currencies. Investment in companies that provide value-added services around bitcoin is a key way of participating in value creation at this stage.”
以上内容就是币圈子小编对于比特币会涨到100万美元吗一问的全部解答。比特币通过密码学算法和共识机制来保证其安全性和防篡改性,同时它还可以通过互联网在全球范围内进行快速的点对点转账。需要注意的是,比特币也面临一些挑战和限制,如价格波动性、可扩展性和能源消耗等,大多数人对于比特币价格的增长潜力持有不同的态度,因此,还建议各位投资者在使用和投资比特币时,需要谨慎考虑自己的风险承受能力,并了解数字货币市场的潜在风险。
It is important to note that Bitcoin also faces challenges and constraints, such as price volatility, scalability, and energy consumption, and that most people have different attitudes towards the potential growth of bitcoin prices. Therefore, it is recommended that investors need to be careful in using and investing bitcoins, taking into account their risk tolerance and understanding the potential risks in the digital currency market.
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