01岛论大势
01 Island Debate
比特币已经成为SEC主席认为的竞争对手
他昨天在DACOM峰会时表示,比特币是美国因行系统及全球共识的竞争对手,他认为真正的数字或币不需要去中心化,后来还提到了Defi,说Defi是真正的创新,但如果没有坚管,行业就无法生存,同时也提到Defi可能涉及法绿风险。总之整体的意思就是,我美国证坚会管不了的行业,就不能发展和生存,感觉对加密行业不受监管这个事情,仍然是敌意满满,但这个状态确实不是短期能够改善的。
Yesterday, at the DACOM summit, he said that Bitcoin was America’s rival of the system and global consensus, and that he believed that real numbers or coins did not need to be centralized, and then referred to Defi, who was a real innovation, but could not survive without it, and that Defi might be involved in the green risks of the law. In short, the overall idea was that the industries that I certified would not be able to develop and survive, and that there was still a feeling of hostility to not regulating the encryption industry, but that the situation could not be improved in the short term.
美国支付巨头Square改名为Block,杰西辞职推特CEO后,果然去大力搞他的支付公司去了,准备大力拥抱区块链技术和加密货币,或许会成为这个行业未来最具潜力的巨头之一。
When the United States paid the giant Square to change his name to Block, Jesse resigned from Twitter and the CEO, he went to his payment company and was prepared to embrace block chain technology and encrypted currency, perhaps one of the greatest potentials in the future of the industry.
02龙头
02 tap
BTC:长期持有者开始抛售,近一个月卖出了15万枚BTC,现在阶段仍然属于长期向短期转化的阶段,只要短期投资者能够接得住,市场未来依旧会出现新的主升浪,当下转化速度并不高,还属于早期阶段,无碍。
BTC: Long-term holders began to sell and nearly 150,000 BTCs were sold in the past month. The current phase is still a long-term transition to the short term. As long as short-term investors are able to reach them, the market will continue to see a new major upswing in the future, with low transformation rates and early stages.
比特币相对其他市场比较抗跌,仍然处于震荡周期,其他币赚钱效应不强,市场在GameFi的疯狂后,需要一段时间的冷静。
03风险与机遇
Bitcoin is more resistant to other markets, still in a shock cycle, other currencies have less earning power, and the market needs a period of calm after GameFi's madness.
03 risks and opportunities
ETH:针对ETH一颗红心两手准备已经确认,4800成为行情多空分水岭。我们在熟练掌握了K线的常见技术形态以及支撑阻力的作用后,便可以利用强支撑阻力来进行交易点位的判断。今天日内ETH的H4级别K线回踩幅度较深,短线跌破了MA18,并且一度濒临维加斯通道附近,因此今日主基调不宜继续看多。我们需要重点观察H4级别维加斯通道的进一步下探情况。如行情跌破,则ETH底部目标在4000一线附近。多头因盈亏比以及MA18与发起点维加斯通道叠合太近,交易价值相对偏弱。因此针对ETH今日思路主空头,等待明确的突破信号。如没有合适的机会,则静待后续良机。
ETH: It has been confirmed that 4,800 has been identified as a multi-blank watershed for one of the ETH’s two hands. After mastering the usual technical patterns of Klines and the role of supporting resistance, we can use strong resistance to make trading point judgements. Today, the ETH’s H4-K line has gone deeper, the short line has fallen through MA18, and is once on the verge of the Vegas route, so it is not appropriate for the main tone to continue to look. We need to focus on the further downs of the H4-Vagas corridor. If it falls, the ETH’s bottom goal is close to 4,000 lines. Multi-heads are relatively weak because of the profit margin and the convergence of the MA18 with the launch point of Vegas.
LUNA:自从销毁提案后,挖了个坑就起来了,目前依然处于主升浪,市值超过了共识度极高的SHIB,核心竞争力最终会瓦解不靠谱的共识,长期的胜利者一定属于那些有价值的东西。
LUNA: Since the destruction of the proposal, a pit has been dug up and is still in the main wave, with a market value exceeding the very high-consensual SHIB, core competitiveness will eventually break down unconscionable consensus, and long-term victors must belong to something of value.
MATIC: Polygon上的日活用户已经达到以太坊的64%,这是个非常成熟且活跃的生态链,未来继续走出新高的概率依旧不小,持有为主。
MATIC: Daytime users on Polygon have reached 64 per cent of the Etherm, a very mature and dynamic ecological chain, and the chances of continuing out of the new heights in the future remain high and dominant.
以上分析均为岛原创,仅供参考,不构成投资建议。
The above analysis is original for information purposes only and does not constitute an investment proposal.
币市有风险,最好别入市
The market is at risk and it is best not to enter the market
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